2023 winter weather predictions

The National Weather Service offices across the region declared this week as winter weather preparedness week. Winter 2021-2022 started incredibly warm with a record-setting December that was warmer than the average November. We then transitioned to a colder and more active pattern in January and February.

The past can give hints about the winter ahead, but it's never a guarantee. 

LA NIÑA

Winter 2021-2022 and 2020-2021 were both La Niña years and that is expected to be a trend again for the 2022-2023 season. La Niña is when water over the Equatorial Pacific is cooler than average. A third year of La Niña is fairly rare, but conditions should start to wane to an “neutral phase” of the The El Niño-Southern Oscillation or ENSO.

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A TYPICAL LA NIÑA SET UP

During typical La Niña years, we see a wavy jet stream. The jet stream helps push systems our way and often separates warm air from cold air, placing mid-Missouri in the “battle zone.”

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While mid-Missouri sits in the “battle zone” between warm and cold air, it is typically above average in temperature and below average in precipitation across the south. Temperatures tend to remain below average in the north with above average chances of precipitation.

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) winter outlook for the year favors this pattern, but doesn’t give a lot of strong indications for central Missouri.

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FIRST ALERT FORECAST

During an average year, we see about 15 to 18 inches of snowfall, and we are expecting to be right in the range of 15 to 20 inches of snowfall for the winter season. In addition, it has become quite common to see snow continue into March and April. We are likely to see this trend continue especially as we start to transition to the “neutral” ENSO phase.

Temperatures will clash often! We’re likely to see large temperature swings that transition from above-average temperatures to below-average temperatures, putting us at an increased risk of icy mixes and ice storms.

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PREPARING FOR WINTER

The best way to be prepared for the winter is to stay updated! Trust reliable sources like the KOMU 8 First Alert Weather team for an honest and straightforward forecast that neglects the hype that you’ll inevitably see on social media.

Download the KOMU 8 First Alert Weather App on your smartphone and enable notifications. Go into your settings and make sure “KOMU 8 Alerts” are on so that you get exclusive video updates from the First Alert Weather team.

Are you ready for winter? Stay updated with the First Alert Weather Team with the KOMU 8 First Alert Weather App. Make sure you go to settings and have “KOMU 8 Alerts” on to get exclusive video updates from the team as changes happen. Screenshot to guide you if needed :) pic.twitter.com/p0aQDulT5y

— Matt Beckwith (@KOMUMatt) November 10, 2022

Additionally, it’s always a good idea to have an emergency kit in your vehicle before winter weather strikes. When winter weather inevitably does strike, take proper precautions like slowing down and allowing extra room between your car and the cars around you.

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Count on KOMU 8 First Alert Weather to bring you Storm Mode coverage before, during, and after a winter storm strikes. It’s a promise and a commitment that we take seriously.

This week is Winter Weather Preparedness Week! Today's theme is terminology so it's time to review Storm Mode! Ahead of winter weather the KOMU 8 First Alert weather team will go into Storm Mode. Thankfully nothing that warrants this anytime soon #MidMoWx #MoWx #MoWinterPrep pic.twitter.com/okLzvbWNuA

— Matt Beckwith (@KOMUMatt) November 7, 2022

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What is the winter forecast for Missouri?

November 2022 to October 2023. Winter will be colder than normal, on average, with the coldest periods in late November, early December, early to mid-January, and mid- to late February. Precipitation and snowfall will be above average in the east and below average in the west.

Is it going to be a cold winter in Louisiana?

November 2022 to October 2023. Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in early December and early and late January. Precipitation will be below normal, with above-normal snowfall in the north. The best chances for snow in the north will be in early to mid-January and mid-February.

Is Florida going to have a cold winter 2023?

La Niña in Florida winter 2022-23 When it comes to West Central and Southwest Florida, there is a 40-50% chance that temperatures will slightly rise above normal — with rainfall during these months predicted to fall below normal, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said.

What kind of winter is predicted for 2022 in Pennsylvania?

November 2022 to October 2023. Winter temperatures will be below normal, while precipitation and snowfall will be above normal. The coldest periods will be in early December, early and late January, and most of February. The snowiest periods will be in early to mid-January, late January, and late February.